Basktball Stats

by dheidt20. March 2013 09:20

Put together some stats that may help for basketball.

last year teams that had a better rebound margin, and defensive scoring were 31-2 SU.

 

The teams highlighted in orange in the spreadsheet have that advantage this year

 

2013NCAABranks.xlsx (16.87 kb)

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2012 record 197 171 14 for 10.43 units

by dheidt7. February 2013 09:38

Ended the year 197-171-14 +10.43 units. That brings the 3 yr record to 478-357-21 + 83.03 units.

 

Had a ton more plays this year than last not sure if that is part of the for not doing as good or not, but before I only used one book this year we used 3 of them.  But that is 113 more plays this year than last year or about an avg of 5 more a week

 

2011 was 157-105-7 + 41.57

2010 was 124-81 +31.03

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Super Bowl Props

by dheidt26. January 2013 05:36

.5 sportsbook
Ravens - What will Happen First (Includes Safety)(Official Punt Only)
Ravens Score
Ravens Punt -165

sportsbook
Joe Flacco - Total Completions - Must Play (No Completion - Under is Winner)
Under 21.5 (-120)

.5 Bovada
(BAL @ SF) - Total Rushing Yards - Vonta Leach (BAL)
Under 4½ (-105)

.5 Bovada
Will there be a score in the first 6min 30 seconds of the 1st quarter?
No -115

.5 Bovada
Total Rushing Attempts in the game - Ray Rice (BAL)
Under 18½ (-125)

.5 Bovada
Total Yards on 1st TD Pass - Joe Flacco (BAL)
Under 17½ (-115)

.5 5dimes
F.Gore rushing yards/ Over 81½ -110

.5 sportsbook
Michael Crabtree - Total Receiving Yards - Must Play (No Receptions)
Under 86.5 (-115)

.5 sportsbook
LaMichael James - Total Rushing Yards - Must Play (No Rush Attempt
Over 27.5 (-115)

1.25 sportsbook
Frank Gore - Total Rushing Attempts - Must Play (No Rush Attempt - Under is Winner)
Over 18.5 (-130)

sportsbook
Colin Kaepernick - Total Rushing Yards - Must Play
Under 55.5 (-115)

.5 sportsbook
Colin Kaepernick - Total Passing Yards - Must Play
Under 240.5 (-115)

sportsbook
Dennis Pitta - Total Receiving Yards - Must Play (No Receptions - Under is Winner)
Under 45.5 (-115)

sportsbook
Anquan Boldin - Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 4.5 (-150)

.5 Bovada
Total Rushing Attempts in the game - Colin Kaepernick (SF)
Under 7½ (-115)

.33 Bovada
Who will catch a Pass first in the game?
Michael Crabtree (SF) WR -155
Torrey Smith (BAL) WR

.33 Bovada
Who will have more Receiving Yards in the game?
Anquan Boldin (BAL) WR -15½ (-115)
Vernon Davis (SF) TE

.33 Bovada
Who will catch a Pass first in the game?
Michael Crabtree (SF) WR -175
Ray Rice (BAL) RB

.33 Bovada
What will be higher?
Sidney Crosby Shots on Goal Feb 3rd vs Washington Pick (-115)
Torrey Smith Receptions Super Bowl XLVII

.33 Bovada
Will Alicia Keys add at least 1 NEW word of the official US National Anthem?
Yes +200


.67 Bovada
SUPER BOWL XLVII SPECIALS - Will Beyonce be joined by Jay Z on Stage during the Super Bowl Half Time Show?
Yes -105


sportsbook
Total Sacks by Both Teams
Under 4.5 (-115)


.5 5dimes
SF kicks off to start game +110* vs BAL kicks off to start game

I guess both coaches defer no matter what, so may as well take the the team with better odds.

 

Flacco MVP +300 on sportsbook

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Conference Championship Prop Plays

by dheidt18. January 2013 19:38

sportsbook
Michael Turner (Falcons) Total Rushing Attempts - Must Play
Under 12.5 (-120)

.5 sportsbook
LaMichael James (49ers) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards - Must Play
Under 37.5 (-115)

bovada
(SF @ ATL) - Total Rushing Attempts - Colin Kaepernick (SF)
Over 7½ (-135)

bovada
(SF @ ATL) - Total Receptions - Michael Crabtree (SF)
Over 6 (-130)

bovada
(SF @ ATL) - Total Rushing Yards - Michael Turner (ATL)
Under 47½ (-105)

sportsbook
Anquan Boldin (Ravens) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 4.5 (-135)

sportsbook
Ray Rice (Ravens) Total Rushing Attempts - Must Play
Over 18.5 (-115)

sportsbook
Joe Flacco (Ravens) Total Completions - Must Play
Over 21.5 (-120)

bovada
(BAL @ NE) - Total Passing Attempts in the game - Joe Flacco (BAL)
(8010) Over 34½ (-130)


bovada
(BAL @ NE) - Total Passing Attempts in the game - Tom Brady (NE)
Over 38½ (-120)

sportsbook
Brandon Lloyd (Patriots) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 4.5 (-130)

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Sunday plays

by dheidt13. January 2013 10:13

sportsbook
Tony Gonzalez (Falcons) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 5.5 (even)

 

sportsbook
Andre Johnson (Texans) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 6.5 (-140)

 

sportsbook
Brandon Lloyd (Patriots) Total Receptions - Must Play
Under 4.5 (even)

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One more for Saturday

by dheidt12. January 2013 12:31

I know seems opposite of the over 3.5 but I think both can hit


Sportsbook
Dennis Pitta (Ravens) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play
Under 48.5 (-115)

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Saturday Plays

by dheidt11. January 2013 20:30

Saturday summary

bovada
(BAL @ DEN) - Total Passing Attempts in the game - Joe Flacco (BAL)
Over 33½ (-115)

Sportsbook
Joe Flacco (Ravens) Total Passing Yards - Must Play
Under 250.5 (-115)

.75
Sportsbook
Bernard Pierce (Ravens) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play
Under 36.5 (-115)

.5
Sportsbook
Torrey Smith (Ravens) Total Receptions - Must Play
Under 3.5 (-135)

bovada
(BAL @ DEN) Total Receptions - Dennis Pitta (BAL)
Over 3½ (-135)

.5
bovada
(GB @ SF) Total Rushing Yards - DuJuan Harris (GB)
(6013) Under 52½ (-115)

.5
Sportsbook
Jordy Nelson (Packers) Total Receptions - Must Play
Under 3.5 (+120)

.75
bovada
(GB @ SF) Total Receptions - Vernon Davis (SF)
Under 3 (-130)

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Wild Card Weekend Props Regular Season 168 143 10 positive1045 units

by dheidt3. January 2013 21:11

With limited games will be taking a few more bets but for smaller amounts.

.25
Andre Johnson (Texans) Total Receptions - Must Play
Under 7.5 (-130)

.25
Matt Schaub (Texans) Total Passing Yards - Must Play
Under 240.5 (-115)

1.1 Will be looking for an over 3.5 maybe 4 also
Jermaine Gresham (Bengals) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play
Over 42.5 (-115)

.35 I never normally bet these as they take too much time to research, but the Texans have let up a pass of over 38 yards every for 8 consecutive weeks dating back to week 10, the last time they didn't allow a 38 yard pass was vs. Buffalo week 9
Andy Dalton (Bengals) Longest Completion - Must Play
Over 37.5 (-115)

 

1
Randall Cobb (Packers) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 4.5 (-115)

.5 He played the slot last week in absence of cobb, would assume Cobb take that back this, and without the slot think 6 catches would be hard to get
Greg Jennings (Packers) Total Receptions - Must Play
Under 5.5 (-135)

.5 Hurt sucks
Christian Ponder (Vikings) Total Passing Yards - Must Play
Under 191.5 (-115)            

.75
Russell Wilson (Seahawks) Total Completions - Must Play
Over 15.5 (-130)

.5
Reggie Wayne (Colts) Total Receptions - Must Play
Over 5.5 (-115)

.5   
(MIN @ GB) Total Receptions - Kyle Rudoplh (MIN)
Over 3 (-130)

.5   
(IND @ BAL) Total Rushing Yards - Ray Rice (BAL)
Over 90½ (-125)

.75 - Bovada
SEA @ WAS) Total Receptions - Sidney Rice (SEA)
Over 3 (-115)

.5 - Bovada
(SEA @ WAS) Total Receptions - Santana Moss (WAS)
Under 3 (-130)

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Regular Season and Futures Record

by dheidt31. December 2012 12:25

Ended up 168-143-10 +10.45 units.  Not as good as the past two years but still in the green, and still have the playoffs left.

 

All bets are updated in the 2012 prop link

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Week 17 added

by dheidt30. December 2012 08:04

Found two on bovada I like.

Welker over 6.5 rec - This is what I was looking for, and would have rather had this than the yards one.

Dez Bryant over 5 rec

Also side note Marshall is only 90.5 on bovada, that is a pretty big difference

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